{
  "protocol_version": "original-network-current-detection-v1-20261105",
  "protocol_sha256": "846975819d0863d6e5ebc8b9ad86ae4d5066f165f3a00b7de44325fdbaa26e8b",
  "current_detection_binding_sha256": "a195408e9cd67e95896842423dc0b80ed20d7d4939a7ce984bb84685bf096e60",
  "tests": {
    "tests_run": 8,
    "passed": true,
    "failures": 0,
    "errors": 0,
    "skipped": 0
  },
  "primary_variant": "raw_w7_l5_combined",
  "metrics": {
    "original_frozen_alerts": {
      "baseline_index_drop": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 7,
        "matched_alerts": 7,
        "unmatched_alerts": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 8,
        "onsets_missed": 13,
        "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 8,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 4,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 4,
        "onsets_missed": 17,
        "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-10-13"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2,
          1,
          2,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 4,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 1,
        "onsets_missed": 20,
        "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-30"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "index_only_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 12,
        "matched_alerts": 8,
        "unmatched_alerts": 4,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 8,
        "onsets_missed": 13,
        "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 12,
        "matched_alerts": 8,
        "unmatched_alerts": 4,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 8,
        "onsets_missed": 13,
        "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 4,
        "matched_alerts": 3,
        "unmatched_alerts": 1,
        "precision": 0.75,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-10-11"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 9,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 5,
        "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 4,
        "onsets_missed": 17,
        "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-08-29"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          2,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 3,
        "unmatched_alerts": 3,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 3,
        "onsets_missed": 18,
        "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-09-01"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 20,
        "matched_alerts": 6,
        "unmatched_alerts": 14,
        "precision": 0.3,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 6,
        "onsets_missed": 15,
        "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2,
          1,
          1,
          1,
          1,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 9,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 5,
        "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 4,
        "onsets_missed": 17,
        "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1,
          0,
          2,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 23,
        "matched_alerts": 7,
        "unmatched_alerts": 16,
        "precision": 0.30434782608695654,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 7,
        "onsets_missed": 14,
        "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2,
          1,
          1,
          1,
          1,
          2,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 13,
        "matched_alerts": 7,
        "unmatched_alerts": 6,
        "precision": 0.5384615384615384,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 7,
        "onsets_missed": 14,
        "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          1,
          0,
          0,
          1,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 14,
        "matched_alerts": 6,
        "unmatched_alerts": 8,
        "precision": 0.42857142857142855,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 6,
        "onsets_missed": 15,
        "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1,
          2,
          1,
          0,
          1,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 17,
        "matched_alerts": 9,
        "unmatched_alerts": 8,
        "precision": 0.5294117647058824,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 8,
        "onsets_missed": 13,
        "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          1,
          0,
          2,
          1,
          0,
          0,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 22,
        "matched_alerts": 8,
        "unmatched_alerts": 14,
        "precision": 0.36363636363636365,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 7,
        "onsets_missed": 14,
        "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-12-28"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          2,
          0,
          2,
          2,
          1,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 8,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 6,
        "precision": 0.25,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 15,
        "matched_alerts": 8,
        "unmatched_alerts": 7,
        "precision": 0.5333333333333333,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 7,
        "onsets_missed": 14,
        "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          1,
          2,
          0,
          1,
          0,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "sector_proxy_only": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 12,
        "matched_alerts": 8,
        "unmatched_alerts": 4,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 9,
        "onsets_missed": 12,
        "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          1,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "index_and_sector_proxy": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 15,
        "matched_alerts": 9,
        "unmatched_alerts": 6,
        "precision": 0.6,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 9,
        "onsets_missed": 12,
        "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "direct_stress_reference": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 13,
        "matched_alerts": 13,
        "unmatched_alerts": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 13,
        "onsets_missed": 8,
        "onset_recall": 0.6190476190476191,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          1,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      }
    },
    "equal_token_capacity": {
      "baseline_index_drop": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 5,
        "matched_alerts": 5,
        "unmatched_alerts": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 6,
        "onsets_missed": 15,
        "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 2,
        "matched_alerts": 1,
        "unmatched_alerts": 1,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 1,
        "onsets_missed": 20,
        "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-22"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 2,
        "matched_alerts": 1,
        "unmatched_alerts": 1,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 0,
        "onsets_missed": 21,
        "onset_recall": 0.0,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [],
        "median_delay_sessions": null,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "index_only_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 5,
        "onsets_missed": 16,
        "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 5,
        "onsets_missed": 16,
        "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 2,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 1,
        "onsets_missed": 20,
        "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-10-11"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 7,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 5,
        "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-08-29"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 4,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.5,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-09-01"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 8,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 6,
        "precision": 0.25,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-09-01"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 4,
        "precision": 0.3333333333333333,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-09-19"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 10,
        "matched_alerts": 1,
        "unmatched_alerts": 9,
        "precision": 0.1,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 1,
        "onsets_missed": 20,
        "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-07-12"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 4,
        "onsets_missed": 17,
        "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 8,
        "matched_alerts": 5,
        "unmatched_alerts": 3,
        "precision": 0.625,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 5,
        "onsets_missed": 16,
        "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          1,
          2,
          0,
          1,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 9,
        "matched_alerts": 6,
        "unmatched_alerts": 3,
        "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 6,
        "onsets_missed": 15,
        "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          2,
          0,
          0,
          1
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 7,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 5,
        "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-08-22"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          2
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 6,
        "matched_alerts": 1,
        "unmatched_alerts": 5,
        "precision": 0.16666666666666666,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 1,
        "onsets_missed": 20,
        "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 5,
        "matched_alerts": 2,
        "unmatched_alerts": 3,
        "precision": 0.4,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 2,
        "onsets_missed": 19,
        "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-08-29"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "sector_proxy_only": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 5,
        "matched_alerts": 3,
        "unmatched_alerts": 2,
        "precision": 0.6,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 3,
        "onsets_missed": 18,
        "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-10-11"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "index_and_sector_proxy": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 7,
        "matched_alerts": 4,
        "unmatched_alerts": 3,
        "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 4,
        "onsets_missed": 17,
        "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-12-23"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      },
      "direct_stress_reference": {
        "scorable_sessions": 246,
        "alerts": 7,
        "matched_alerts": 7,
        "unmatched_alerts": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
        "event_onsets": 21,
        "onsets_detected": 7,
        "onsets_missed": 14,
        "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
        "onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-06-15",
          "2022-06-20",
          "2022-06-22",
          "2022-06-30",
          "2022-07-06",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-08-29",
          "2022-09-01",
          "2022-09-19",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-09-28",
          "2022-10-11",
          "2022-10-13",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2022-12-23",
          "2022-12-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-03-14",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "detected_onset_dates": [
          "2022-06-13",
          "2022-07-12",
          "2022-08-22",
          "2022-09-23",
          "2022-11-28",
          "2023-03-10",
          "2023-04-20"
        ],
        "held_onset_dates": [],
        "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
        "delay_sessions": [
          0,
          0,
          0,
          1,
          0,
          0,
          0
        ],
        "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
        "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
      }
    }
  },
  "comparisons": {
    "original_frozen_alerts": {
      "index_only_combined": {
        "baseline_index_drop": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.6428571428571428
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-10-13"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              2,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 999,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7272727272727273,
              0.18475961538461527
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-30"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 963,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.75,
              0.1654761904761888
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.75,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 966,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.3657051282051282,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6889285714285714,
              0.18888888888888888
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 3,
            "onsets_missed": 18,
            "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 998,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6691666666666667,
              0.2919507575757573
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 20,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 14,
            "precision": 0.3,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7388949275362318,
              0.0
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              0,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7142857142857143,
              0.2222222222222222
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 23,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 16,
            "precision": 0.30434782608695654,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7381613756613757,
              -0.0055995475113122
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 13,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.5384615384615384,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5,
              0.16666666666666663
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 14,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 8,
            "precision": 0.42857142857142855,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              2,
              1,
              0,
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6234172077922078,
              0.13931149732620296
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 17,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 8,
            "precision": 0.5294117647058824,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5204322638146166,
              0.2084821428571427
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 22,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 14,
            "precision": 0.36363636363636365,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-12-28"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2,
              0,
              2,
              2,
              1,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.714484126984127,
              0.024038461538461356
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.25,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8,
              -0.0955794817927171
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 7,
            "precision": 0.5333333333333333,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              2,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.625,
              0.31826298701298694
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "sector_proxy_only": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.378219696969697,
              0.3398966165413533
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "index_and_sector_proxy": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.2727272727272727,
              0.06669683257918553
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "direct_stress_reference": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 13,
            "matched_alerts": 13,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 13,
            "onsets_missed": 8,
            "onset_recall": 0.6190476190476191,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.6428571428571428
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        }
      },
      "index_and_sector_proxy": {
        "baseline_index_drop": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.1333333333333333,
              0.6671874999999996
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-10-13"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              2,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 999,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6,
              0.25302139037433147
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-30"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 963,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6666666666666666,
              0.30000000000000004
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "index_only_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.06669683257918556,
              0.2727272727272727
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.06669683257918556,
              0.2727272727272727
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.75,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 966,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.2700674019607843,
              0.5454545454545454
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5520382395382396,
              0.20481350434910786
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 3,
            "onsets_missed": 18,
            "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 998,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5306149732620321,
              0.33333333333333337
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 20,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 14,
            "precision": 0.3,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5833603896103896,
              -0.006842105263158022
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.4444444444444444,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              0,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6,
              0.2620238095238095
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 23,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 16,
            "precision": 0.30434782608695654,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              1,
              2,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5894868421052633,
              0.0
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 13,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.5384615384615384,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.3833333333333333,
              0.2424365108575635
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 14,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 8,
            "precision": 0.42857142857142855,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              2,
              1,
              0,
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5,
              0.18751838235294116
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 17,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 8,
            "precision": 0.5294117647058824,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 8,
            "onsets_missed": 13,
            "onset_recall": 0.38095238095238093,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.40354010025062653,
              0.24753787878787878
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 22,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 14,
            "precision": 0.36363636363636365,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-12-28"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2,
              0,
              2,
              2,
              1,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5556704260651629,
              0.05015423173317913
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.25,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6731944444444445,
              -0.07491071428571437
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 7,
            "precision": 0.5333333333333333,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              1,
              2,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.45246031746031745,
              0.33951871657753996
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "sector_proxy_only": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 12,
            "matched_alerts": 8,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.20833333333333331,
              0.3295747337616617
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "direct_stress_reference": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 13,
            "matched_alerts": 13,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 13,
            "onsets_missed": 8,
            "onset_recall": 0.6190476190476191,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 15,
            "matched_alerts": 9,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 9,
            "onsets_missed": 12,
            "onset_recall": 0.42857142857142855,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.1333333333333333,
              0.6671874999999996
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": true
        }
      }
    },
    "equal_token_capacity": {
      "index_only_combined": {
        "baseline_index_drop": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 5,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.75
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 883,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              0.6666666666666667
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 0,
            "onsets_missed": 21,
            "onset_recall": 0.0,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [],
            "median_delay_sessions": null,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 872,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8386904761904762,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.0
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 887,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.75
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8333333333333334,
              0.16666666666666663
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 990,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8398809523809524,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.25,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              0.16704545454545422
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.3333333333333333,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-19"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              0.2666666666666666
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 10,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 9,
            "precision": 0.1,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              -0.019074675324675456
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6,
              0.5555555555555556
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 5,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.625,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              2,
              0,
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5714285714285714,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5003571428571428,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-22"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8571428571428571,
              0.16696428571428545
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.16666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 998,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              -0.049821428571428725
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.4,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 997,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8357142857142857,
              0.5
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "sector_proxy_only": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 3,
            "onsets_missed": 18,
            "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 997,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6666666666666667,
              0.5152380952380954
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "index_and_sector_proxy": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.5239087301587301,
              0.35
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "direct_stress_reference": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.75
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        }
      },
      "index_and_sector_proxy": {
        "baseline_index_drop": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 5,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.8333333333333334
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_index_volatility_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-22"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 2.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 883,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8,
              0.75
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "baseline_sector_correlation_20": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 1,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 0,
            "onsets_missed": 21,
            "onset_recall": 0.0,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [],
            "median_delay_sessions": null,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 872,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8,
              0.6666666666666667
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "index_only_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.35,
              0.52390873015873
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "conditional_static_sector_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.35,
              0.52390873015873
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 2,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 887,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.8
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7229166666666668,
              0.16666666666666663
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 4,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.5,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 990,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7142857142857143,
              0.625
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 6,
            "precision": 0.25,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-09-01"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8333333333333334,
              0.2084280303030302
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 4,
            "precision": 0.3333333333333333,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-19"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.5,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8185606060606061,
              0.3501388888888887
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "raw_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 10,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 9,
            "precision": 0.1,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-07-12"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -1.0,
              0.015151515151515166
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.4675,
              0.6
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 8,
            "matched_alerts": 5,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.625,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 5,
            "onsets_missed": 16,
            "onset_recall": 0.23809523809523808,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              1,
              2,
              0,
              1,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.4166666666666667,
              0.5253365384615382
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w7_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 9,
            "matched_alerts": 6,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.6666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 6,
            "onsets_missed": 15,
            "onset_recall": 0.2857142857142857,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              2,
              0,
              0,
              1
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.4,
              0.5238455988455988
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_price": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.2857142857142857,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-22"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              2
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 1.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.7277417027417027,
              0.17205357142857086
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_volume": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 6,
            "matched_alerts": 1,
            "unmatched_alerts": 5,
            "precision": 0.16666666666666666,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 1,
            "onsets_missed": 20,
            "onset_recall": 0.047619047619047616,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 998,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.8333333333333334,
              0.0
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "normalized_w60_l5_combined": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 2,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.4,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 2,
            "onsets_missed": 19,
            "onset_recall": 0.09523809523809523,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-08-29"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 997,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.6914285714285714,
              0.4444444444444444
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "sector_proxy_only": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 5,
            "matched_alerts": 3,
            "unmatched_alerts": 2,
            "precision": 0.6,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 3,
            "onsets_missed": 18,
            "onset_recall": 0.14285714285714285,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 997,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              -0.25,
              0.33333333333333337
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        },
        "direct_stress_reference": {
          "candidate_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 7,
            "unmatched_alerts": 0,
            "precision": 1.0,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 7,
            "onsets_missed": 14,
            "onset_recall": 0.3333333333333333,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              1,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "baseline_common_calendar_metrics": {
            "scorable_sessions": 246,
            "alerts": 7,
            "matched_alerts": 4,
            "unmatched_alerts": 3,
            "precision": 0.5714285714285714,
            "recent_stress_base_rate": 0.24796747967479674,
            "event_onsets": 21,
            "onsets_detected": 4,
            "onsets_missed": 17,
            "onset_recall": 0.19047619047619047,
            "onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-06-15",
              "2022-06-20",
              "2022-06-22",
              "2022-06-30",
              "2022-07-06",
              "2022-07-12",
              "2022-08-22",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-09-01",
              "2022-09-19",
              "2022-09-23",
              "2022-09-28",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-10-13",
              "2022-11-28",
              "2022-12-23",
              "2022-12-28",
              "2023-03-10",
              "2023-03-14",
              "2023-04-20"
            ],
            "detected_onset_dates": [
              "2022-06-13",
              "2022-08-29",
              "2022-10-11",
              "2022-12-23"
            ],
            "held_onset_dates": [],
            "right_censored_onset_dates": [],
            "delay_sessions": [
              0,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "median_delay_sessions": 0.0,
            "scope": "Contemporaneous fixed index-price stress proxy; no independent anomaly gold or causal/forecasting claim"
          },
          "paired_precision": {
            "usable_resamples": 1000,
            "block_sessions": 10,
            "interval_95": [
              0.0,
              0.8333333333333334
            ]
          },
          "exploratory_gate_passed": false
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "primary_current_detection_exploratory_gate_passed": false,
  "future_prediction_exploratory_gate_passed": false,
  "future_prediction_results": "sector_summary.json",
  "original_v2_results": "v2_summary.json",
  "validated_superiority_established": false,
  "independent_anomaly_gold": false,
  "untouched_prospective_test": false,
  "equal_realized_alert_counts": false,
  "limitations": [
    "Fixed historical stock sample and previously seen test period",
    "Unverified original price adjustment and release vintages",
    "Seven sector ETFs are proxies and do not cover all sectors",
    "Price stress is not independently adjudicated structural anomaly truth",
    "Equal capacity does not force equal realized alert counts",
    "A historical monitor is not a live production service"
  ]
}